Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Matilde Jorge vs Chloe Noel
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Matilde Jorge; the market gives 86% to Matilde Jorge (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Matilde Jorge sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Chloe Noel arrives on a 6-4 run.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Jorge 1558 · Chloe Noel 1519
| Matilde Jorge | Chloe Noel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Jorge makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Chloe Noel makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Jorge | Chloe Noel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-8.4 | 11.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Han Shi W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Hina Inoue W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Veronika Podrez W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Hiromi Abe W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Jil Teichmann WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Chloe Noel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Andre Lukosiute W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Emilija Tverijonaite W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Min Liu W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Valentina Carreras Medina W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Mia Slama W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Clemence Lesdos W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Micol Salvadori W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Jorge vs Chloe Noel?
Our model gives 72% to Matilde Jorge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.