Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Kulikova
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Anastasia Kulikova; the market gives 73% to Ella Seidel (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Ella Seidel is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Anastasia Kulikova 6-4 over theirs.
56%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Seidel 1444 · Anastasia Kulikova 1552
| Ella Seidel | Anastasia Kulikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Kulikova (rating 1444 vs 1552).
- Anastasia Kulikova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ella Seidel makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Ella Seidel | Anastasia Kulikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.1 | 10.7-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Seidel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Diane Parry WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/06 | Claire Liu WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emiliana Arango WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Anastasia Kulikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/07 | Francisca Laundes W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Alina Charaeva WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mai Hontama WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/06 | Momoko Kobori WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Polina Isakova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Matilde Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Seidel vs Anastasia Kulikova?
Our model gives 56% to Ella Seidel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.