Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Elena Milovanovic vs Sapfo Sakellaridi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Elena Milovanovic; the market gives 59% to Elena Milovanovic (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Elena Milovanovic is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sapfo Sakellaridi 3-7 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Milovanovic 1536 · Sapfo Sakellaridi 1432
| Elena Milovanovic | Sapfo Sakellaridi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Milovanovic (rating 1536 vs 1432).
- Elena Milovanovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Elena Milovanovic | Sapfo Sakellaridi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.3 | 10.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Milovanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Sina Herrmann W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Yushan Shao W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Juliana Giaccio W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Claudia Ferrer Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Sapfo Sakellaridi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Martina Okalova W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Milovanovic vs Sapfo Sakellaridi?
Our model gives 61% to Elena Milovanovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.