Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tina Manescu vs Tena Lukas
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Tena Lukas; the market gives 79% to Tena Lukas (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Tina Manescu is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tena Lukas 5-5 over theirs.
67%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tina Manescu 1460 · Tena Lukas 1472
| Tina Manescu | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tina Manescu makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Tina Manescu | Tena Lukas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.6 | 10.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 49.2% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tina Manescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Weronika Ewald W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Lidia Encheva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Josy Daems W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Leonie Schuknecht W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Anna Burchak W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/04 | Sara Sorribes Tormo W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 17/03 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Marcelina Podlinska W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 04/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriela Ce W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 27/05 | Weronika Ewald W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Dora Miskovic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tina Manescu vs Tena Lukas?
Our model gives 67% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.