Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Teodora Kostovic vs Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Teodora Kostovic; the market gives 77% to Teodora Kostovic (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Teodora Kostovic is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tessa Johanna Brockmann 3-7 over theirs.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Teodora Kostovic 1514 · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 1440
| Teodora Kostovic | Tessa Johanna Brockmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teodora Kostovic (rating 1514 vs 1440).
- Teodora Kostovic dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 64% break avg.
- Note: Tessa Johanna Brockmann makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Teodora Kostovic | Tessa Johanna Brockmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.8 | 11.2-13.2 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 64% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Teodora Kostovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lin Zhu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Rebecca Sramkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/06 | Yeon Woo Ku Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Ipek Oz W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Julie Struplova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Mona Barthel W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Alycia Parks WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Teodora Kostovic vs Tessa Johanna Brockmann?
Our model gives 69% to Teodora Kostovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.