Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Emily Seibold vs Julia Riera
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Julia Riera; the market gives 83% to Julia Riera (odds 1.13).
Recent form leaves Emily Seibold with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Julia Riera has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Seibold 1521 · Julia Riera 1537
| Emily Seibold | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emily Seibold makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Emily Seibold | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.2 | 11.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Seibold
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Dalila Jakupovic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Berta Passola W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Elsa Bonelli W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Sophie Luescher W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Kristyna Paul W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Alice Rame W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/05 | Carolina Troiano W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/05 | Liv Boulard W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Hajar Crinebouch W15 Reichstett · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nuria Parrizas-Diaz W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniella Britton Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/05 | Alina Korneeva French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Seibold vs Julia Riera?
Our model gives 69% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.