Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Mia Pohankova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Mia Pohankova; the market gives 69% to Mia Pohankova (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Ekaterine Gorgodze sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Mia Pohankova arrives on a 4-6 run.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterine Gorgodze 1492 · Mia Pohankova 1525
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ekaterine Gorgodze | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.7 | 11.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterine Gorgodze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Julia Riera W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Vendula Valdmannova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Mia Pohankova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Harmony Tan Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Magda Linette WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/05 | Noma Noha Akugue W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/05 | Francesca Jones W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 01/05 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/04 | Simona Waltert W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Mona Barthel W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Mia Pohankova?
Our model gives 62% to Mia Pohankova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.