Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lucia Bronzetti vs Georgina Garcia-Perez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 72% to Lucia Bronzetti; the market gives 86% to Lucia Bronzetti (odds 1.10).
Recent form leaves Lucia Bronzetti with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Georgina Garcia-Perez has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
79%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Bronzetti 1583 · Georgina Garcia-Perez 1420
| Lucia Bronzetti | Georgina Garcia-Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1583 vs 1420).
- Lucia Bronzetti is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Georgina Garcia-Perez makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Bronzetti | Georgina Garcia-Perez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.1 | 10.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Bronzetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Maddison Inglis Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Xinyu Gao WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Georgina Garcia-Perez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Yihan Qu W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 10/06 | Juliana Giaccio W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/05 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/05 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 06/05 | Loes Ebeling Koning W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/05 | Carlota Vila Salles W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 07/04 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Eva Vedder W35 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Bronzetti vs Georgina Garcia-Perez?
Our model gives 79% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.