Tennis · W75 The Hague · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Jennifer Ruggeri; the market gives 71% to Jennifer Ruggeri (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Anouck Vrancken Peeters with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Jennifer Ruggeri has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anouck Vrancken Peeters 1509 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1579
| Anouck Vrancken Peeters | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jennifer Ruggeri (rating 1509 vs 1579).
- Jennifer Ruggeri is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anouck Vrancken Peeters makes many double faults (8.2/match).
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Anouck Vrancken Peeters | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.4 | 12.8-11 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 8.2 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/05 | Carolina Alves W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Kayla Day W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Alba Rey Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Leyre Romero Gormaz W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Jennifer Ruggeri?
Our model gives 66% to Jennifer Ruggeri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.