Tennis · W75 The Hague · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Diletta Cherubini
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Anna-Lena Friedsam; the market gives 75% to Anna-Lena Friedsam (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Anna-Lena Friedsam is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Diletta Cherubini 4-6 over theirs.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna-Lena Friedsam 1554 · Diletta Cherubini 1446
| Anna-Lena Friedsam | Diletta Cherubini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna-Lena Friedsam (rating 1554 vs 1446).
- Anna-Lena Friedsam is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Anna-Lena Friedsam makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Anna-Lena Friedsam | Diletta Cherubini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 9.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 51.5% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna-Lena Friedsam
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Clervie Ngounoue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Gina Marie Dittmann W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Mina Hodzic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Ela Plosnik W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Sinja Kraus French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Tamara Zidansek French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Mona Barthel French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Diletta Cherubini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Maria Toma W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/06 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Alice Rame W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Ayana Akli W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/05 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Hanyu Guo WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Ekaterina Reyngold WTA Huzhou · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Diletta Cherubini?
Our model gives 71% to Anna-Lena Friedsam, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.