Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Carolina Alves
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Weronika Falkowska; the market gives 69% to Weronika Falkowska (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Weronika Falkowska sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Carolina Alves arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Weronika Falkowska | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1615 vs 1489).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Carolina Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-7.1 | 10.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 43.6% |
H2H · Weronika Falkowska 1 – 1 Carolina Alves (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Weronika Falkowska 1–1 Carolina Alves
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 WTA Saint-Malo | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04/21 ITF W25 Oeiras | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Gorska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Sara Husar W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Carolina Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Antonia Rivera W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Noelia Zeballos W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Luiza Fullana W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Francesca Mattioli W35 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 16/05 | Lisa Zaar WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Chloe Paquet W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Carolina Alves?
Our model gives 68% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.