Tennis · W75 The Hague · 07/07, 13:30
Prediction: Jessica Pieri vs Mia Ristic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Mia Ristic; the market gives 75% to Mia Ristic (odds 1.25).
On recent form, Jessica Pieri is 2-8 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Mia Ristic 8-2 over theirs.
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessica Pieri 1424 · Mia Ristic 1541
| Jessica Pieri | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Ristic (rating 1424 vs 1541).
- Mia Ristic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jessica Pieri | Mia Ristic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-12.9 | 12.3-10.1 |
| Aces | 0 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 48.2% | 63.1% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Deborah Chiesa W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Han Shi WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Sijia Wei WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/04 | Alina Charaeva WTA Rouen · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Oceane Babel WTA Rouen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/04 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 08/04 | Gabriela Knutson W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/03 | Kathinka Von Deichmann W50 Croissy-Beaubourg · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Samira De Stefano W75 Maribor |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Verena Meliss WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Tena Lukas W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 17-14 | L |
| 21/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Tatiana Pieri W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Pieri vs Mia Ristic?
Our model gives 71% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.