Tennis · W15 Astana · 07/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sonal Patil vs Ekaterina Maklakova
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Ekaterina Maklakova; the market gives 89% to Ekaterina Maklakova (odds 1.05).
Over their last 10 matches, Sonal Patil sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Ekaterina Maklakova arrives on a 6-4 run.
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonal Patil 1510 · Ekaterina Maklakova 1518
| Sonal Patil | Ekaterina Maklakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Maklakova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Sonal Patil | Ekaterina Maklakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.1 | 10.8-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 62% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonal Patil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Snigdha Kanta W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Polina Skopintseva W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/04 | Jennifer Luikham W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Anastasiya Kuparev W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/03 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W15 Nagpur |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Elina Nepliy W15 Nagpur |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 27/03 | Kashish Bhatia W15 Nagpur |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/03 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Nagpur |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
Ekaterina Maklakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Yujia Huang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Rina Saigo W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/06 | Xiaowei Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Shiyu Ye W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 17/05 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Elina Nepliy W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonal Patil vs Ekaterina Maklakova?
Our model gives 72% to Ekaterina Maklakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.