Tennis · W15 Astana · 07/07, 10:30
Prediction: Albina Kakenova vs Gaeul Jang
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Gaeul Jang; the market gives 88% to Gaeul Jang (odds 1.07).
On recent form, Albina Kakenova is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Gaeul Jang 9-1 over theirs.
75%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Albina Kakenova 1504 · Gaeul Jang 1573
| Albina Kakenova | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaeul Jang (rating 1504 vs 1573).
- Note: Albina Kakenova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Albina Kakenova | Gaeul Jang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.8 | 12-7.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Albina Kakenova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Satima Toregen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Zeynep Ilker W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sofiia Suslova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Vlada Guryleva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/05 | Chrystal Lopez W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Laima Vladson ITF W15 Tashkent |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Sun Min Ha ITF W15 Tashkent |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Aruzhan Nuranbay ITF W15 Tashkent |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Polina Bakhmutkina ITF W15 Tashkent |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Gaeul Jang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Ying Zhang W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Sara Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Yuhan Liu W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Aishi Das W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Yuzuha Negishi W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Himari Sato W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Natsuki Yoshimoto W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Nagi Hanatani W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Albina Kakenova vs Gaeul Jang?
Our model gives 75% to Gaeul Jang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.