Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Maximilian Neuchrist
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Valentin Royer; the market gives 86% to Valentin Royer (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Valentin Royer sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Maximilian Neuchrist arrives on a 4-6 run.
| Valentin Royer | Maximilian Neuchrist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Maximilian Neuchrist dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 41.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Valentin Royer 1–0 Maximilian Neuchrist (1).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Maximilian Neuchrist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.9 | 11.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 53.2% | 41.1% |
H2H · Valentin Royer 1 – 0 Maximilian Neuchrist (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentin Royer 1–0 Maximilian Neuchrist
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/21 ITF M25 Falun | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Harry Wendelken Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Novak Djokovic French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 24/05 | Hugo Dellien French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maximilian Neuchrist
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Ramkumar Ramanathan Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Yanki Erel M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 15/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Raghav Harsh M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/04 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Kigali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 10/03 | Florent Bax Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 02/03 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/03 | Claude Ishimwe Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Maximilian Neuchrist?
Our model gives 70% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.