Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 07/07, 13:40
Prediction: Stefan Horia Haita vs Damir Dzumhur
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Stefan Horia Haita; the market gives 81% to Damir Dzumhur (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Stefan Horia Haita with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Damir Dzumhur has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Horia Haita 1557 · Damir Dzumhur 1472
| Stefan Horia Haita | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Horia Haita (rating 1557 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Stefan Horia Haita | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.9 | 13.2-13.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 64% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Horia Haita
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | David Poljak Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Marc Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Robert Guna M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 23/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Mikhail Kukushkin ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/05 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 24-27 | L |
| 14/05 | Jaume Munar Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Horia Haita vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 62% to Damir Dzumhur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.