Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 07/07, 12:30
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs S D Prajwal Dev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to S D Prajwal Dev; the market gives 89% to Pedro Martinez (odds 1.07).
Recent form leaves Pedro Martinez with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; S D Prajwal Dev has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1469 · S D Prajwal Dev 1515
| Pedro Martinez | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours S D Prajwal Dev (rating 1469 vs 1515).
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 9.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 10.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Arthur Fery French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 19/05 | Rei Sakamoto French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Roberto Bautista-Agut Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
S D Prajwal Dev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Marcelo Zormann Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Uta Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Gabriel Gomez Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 05/05 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/04 | Jie Cui M25 Luzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs S D Prajwal Dev?
Our model gives 69% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.