Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Mathys Erhard
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Mathys Erhard; the market gives 78% to Titouan Droguet (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Titouan Droguet sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Mathys Erhard arrives on a 4-6 run.
| Titouan Droguet | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Erhard (rating 1488 vs 1544).
- Head-to-head: Titouan Droguet 5–0 Mathys Erhard (5).
Statistics
| Titouan Droguet | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-13.7 | 13.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 50.9% |
H2H · Titouan Droguet 5 – 0 Mathys Erhard (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Titouan Droguet 5–0 Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/25 Challenger Tunis | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/07/23 Challenger Amersfoort | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06/23 ITF M25 Grasse | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10/18 ITF Turkey F32 | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09/18 ITF Italy F28 | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Titouan Droguet
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Adrian Mannarino Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Jerome Kym Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Charles Broom Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Raphael Collignon Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Terence Atmane Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 12/05 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/05 | Patrick Kypson ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Jacopo Bilardo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Mathys Erhard?
Our model gives 62% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.