Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 07/07, 17:00

Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Cezar Cretu

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Cezar Cretu; the market gives 69% to Cezar Cretu (odds 1.36).

On recent form, Alex Marti Pujolras is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Cezar Cretu 6-4 over theirs.

62%2
38% 62%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1492 · Cezar Cretu 1522
Alex Marti PujolrasCezar Cretu
Our model46%54%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Alex Marti Pujolras 1–0 Cezar Cretu (1).
  • Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (7.1/match).

Statistics

Alex Marti PujolrasCezar Cretu
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.4-1
Games (G-P)10.7-9.311.6-10.1
Aces2.41.9
Double faults7.12.1
1st serve %68.3%64.4%
Break %55.7%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

H2H · Alex Marti Pujolras 10 Cezar Cretu (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Marti Pujolras 10 Cezar Cretu

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/07/24
ITF M25 Bacau
2-116-16W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alex Marti Pujolras

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Samir Hamza Reguig
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 12-14 L
05/07 Vijay Sundar Prashanth
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/06 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/06 Andrej Martin
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
07/06 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Luka Mikrut
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
01/06 David Fix
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/05 Oriol Roca Batalla
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
23/05 Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
22/05 Robert Watzka
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Cezar Cretu

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
26/06 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
25/06 Niels McDonald
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Akira Santillan
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Jacopo Vasami
Challenger Perugia · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
31/05 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
30/05 Radu Albot
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
29/05 Liam Broady
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/05 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-1 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Cezar Cretu?

Our model gives 62% to Cezar Cretu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.