Prediction: Rira Kosaka vs Salakthip Ounmuang
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Salakthip Ounmuang; the market gives 61% to Salakthip Ounmuang (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Rira Kosaka is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Salakthip Ounmuang 6-4 over theirs.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rira Kosaka 1460 · Salakthip Ounmuang 1502
| Rira Kosaka | Salakthip Ounmuang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salakthip Ounmuang (rating 1460 vs 1502).
- Note: Rira Kosaka makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Rira Kosaka | Salakthip Ounmuang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.4 | 10.5-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 43% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rira Kosaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 25/06 | Ying Zhang W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Mutsumi Uemura W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Gaeul Jang W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Moeka Miyata W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Elena Micic W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/08 | Shiho Tsujioka UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Natsuki Yamagami UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Sasha Sakura Stula UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Yokohama Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Salakthip Ounmuang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 22/10 | Edda Mamedova ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Thessy N Zinga ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Edda Mamedova UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/10 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Kaiden Greer UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Elina Nepliy W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Sarah Rokusek ITF W35 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rira Kosaka vs Salakthip Ounmuang?
Our model gives 59% to Salakthip Ounmuang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.