Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 06/07, 17:30
Prediction: Victoria Pohle vs Julia Stusek
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Julia Stusek; the market gives 69% to Julia Stusek (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Victoria Pohle sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Julia Stusek arrives on a 6-4 run.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victoria Pohle 1470 · Julia Stusek 1558
| Victoria Pohle | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Stusek (rating 1470 vs 1558).
- Julia Stusek is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Victoria Pohle 0–1 Julia Stusek (1).
- Note: Julia Stusek makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Victoria Pohle | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-9.6 | 11.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Victoria Pohle 0 – 1 Julia Stusek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Victoria Pohle 0–1 Julia Stusek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 ITF W15 Solarino | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victoria Pohle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mona Barthel W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Josy Daems W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Kailey Evans W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Boehner W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Valentina Steiner W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Elena Milovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Jenny Lim W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Adriana Monlleo Ramos W15 Oliva · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/04 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Julia Stusek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Chloe Paquet W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Berta Passola W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 20/06 | Adrienn Nagy W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Mara Guth W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Zoe Kaegi W35 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Iva Ivanova W35 Nice |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Manon Favier W35 Nice |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 07/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victoria Pohle vs Julia Stusek?
Our model gives 66% to Julia Stusek, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.