Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 06/07, 12:30
Prediction: Martina Okalova vs Sapfo Sakellaridi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Martina Okalova; the market gives 61% to Sapfo Sakellaridi (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Martina Okalova with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Sapfo Sakellaridi has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martina Okalova 1497 · Sapfo Sakellaridi 1422
| Martina Okalova | Sapfo Sakellaridi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martina Okalova (rating 1497 vs 1422).
- Martina Okalova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Martina Okalova makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Martina Okalova | Sapfo Sakellaridi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.8 | 10.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 7.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martina Okalova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Anastasiya Zaparyniuk W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Nika Hurkacz W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Ewa Czapulak W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 04/06 | Cadence Brace W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 02/06 | Maria Kononova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/06 | Annika Penickova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
Sapfo Sakellaridi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alina Granwehr W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Pauline Dore W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Raluca Georgiana Serban W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Isabelle Cherny W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Agustina Chlpac W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martina Okalova vs Sapfo Sakellaridi?
Our model gives 51% to Sapfo Sakellaridi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.