Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 06/07, 12:30
Prediction: Elena Milovanovic vs Sina Herrmann
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Elena Milovanovic; the market gives 86% to Elena Milovanovic (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Elena Milovanovic sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Sina Herrmann arrives on a 6-4 run.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Milovanovic 1535 · Sina Herrmann 1501
| Elena Milovanovic | Sina Herrmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Elena Milovanovic | Sina Herrmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.6 | 10-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 53.5% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Milovanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Anna Kubareva W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Yushan Shao W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Juliana Giaccio W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Claudia Ferrer Perez W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Luna Vujovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sina Herrmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Eva Alvarez Sande W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Valentina Ivanov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Carolin Raschdorf W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Anja Casari W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/05 | Micol Salvadori W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Stefania Bojica W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Sarah Kanduth W15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/04 | Katarina Jokic W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/04 | Panna Bartha W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Milovanovic vs Sina Herrmann?
Our model gives 72% to Elena Milovanovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.