Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 06/07, 15:30
Prediction: Carla Markus vs Denislava Glushkova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Denislava Glushkova; the market gives 69% to Denislava Glushkova (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Carla Markus is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Denislava Glushkova 7-3 over theirs.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carla Markus 1464 · Denislava Glushkova 1521
| Carla Markus | Denislava Glushkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Denislava Glushkova (rating 1464 vs 1521).
Statistics
| Carla Markus | Denislava Glushkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12 | 11.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 55.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 62.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carla Markus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lian Tran W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/05 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Boca Raton |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/04 | Julia Riera W35 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Sarah Ye W35 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/04 | Yael Saffar W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Emery Combs W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/04 | Elizabeth Coleman W15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 03/04 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Victoria Luiza Barros W35 Junin · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Denislava Glushkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/06 | Diana Marcinkevica W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Bianca E Barbulescu W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W35 Nice |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Nika Hurkacz W35 Nice |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/05 | Ela Plosnik W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/05 | Stefania Bojica W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 24/05 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carla Markus vs Denislava Glushkova?
Our model gives 64% to Denislava Glushkova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.