Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 06/07, 15:00
Prediction: Berfu Cengiz vs Arina Bulatova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Berfu Cengiz; the market gives 73% to Berfu Cengiz (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Berfu Cengiz with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Arina Bulatova has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Berfu Cengiz 1502 · Arina Bulatova 1488
| Berfu Cengiz | Arina Bulatova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Berfu Cengiz makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Arina Bulatova makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Berfu Cengiz | Arina Bulatova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.9 | 9.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 53.3% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Berfu Cengiz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Francesca Parcelli W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Martha Matoula W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Dalila Spiteri W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Darya Velikova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Nice |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Hena Cehajic W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Donna Vekic WTA Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Katherine Sebov WTA Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Arina Bulatova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Salma Drugdova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Nice |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Rasheeda McAdoo W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Ralitsa Alexandrova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Caroline Werner W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Nikol Sevald W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/05 | Romana Cisovska W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/05 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Ena Ilic W15 Beograd · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/04 | Polona Hercog W75 Chiasso · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Berfu Cengiz vs Arina Bulatova?
Our model gives 64% to Berfu Cengiz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.