Tennis · W35 Hillcrest · 06/07, 09:30

Prediction: Farah Heddar vs Sasha Natalie Chimedza

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Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Farah Heddar; the market gives 59% to Sasha Natalie Chimedza (odds 1.57).

Over their last 10 matches, Farah Heddar sits at 1-9 (W-L), while Sasha Natalie Chimedza arrives on a 0-10 run.

52%2
48% 52%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Farah Heddar 1412 · Sasha Natalie Chimedza 1361
Farah HeddarSasha Natalie Chimedza
Our model57%43%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Farah Heddar (rating 1412 vs 1361).
  • Note: Sasha Natalie Chimedza makes many double faults (4.5/match).

Statistics

Farah HeddarSasha Natalie Chimedza
Win %10%0%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 0% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.2-1.80.3-2
Games (G-P)4.6-11.55.8-11.2
Aces0.51.9
Double faults3.74.5
1st serve %49%52.8%
Break %26.7%40%
Estimated total games (ours) 18

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Farah Heddar

LLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Ashton Bowers
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
21/06 Polina Isakova
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/04 Jasmijn Gimbrere
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
07/04 Weronika Falkowska
W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/03 Marjorie Souza
W15 Santiago
0-2 8-13 L
01/03 Aliesia Reva
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/12 Gaia Squarcialupi
ITF W15 Melilla · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/11 Marie Vogt
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
04/11 Martyna Zaremba
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/10 Enola Chiesa
ITF W15 Malta
0-2 3-12 L

Sasha Natalie Chimedza

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Danielle Dai Chapman
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/06 Lea Dube
W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard
1-2 12-9 L
20/05 Luisa Hrda
W15 Gaborone · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L
28/04 Delia Gaillard
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/10 Lavinia S C Gismondi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/10 Charlotte Narti
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-8 L
14/10 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 Ava Schueller
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 6-11 L
16/09 Vanesa Salaiova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
04/09 Alicia Dudeney
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Farah Heddar vs Sasha Natalie Chimedza?

Our model gives 52% to Sasha Natalie Chimedza, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.