Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 06/07, 12:30

Prediction: Weronika Ewald vs Tina Manescu

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Weronika Ewald; the market gives 69% to Weronika Ewald (odds 1.36).

On recent form, Weronika Ewald is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tina Manescu 4-6 over theirs.

65%1
65% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Weronika Ewald 1517 · Tina Manescu 1445
Weronika EwaldTina Manescu
Our model60%40%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Ewald (rating 1517 vs 1445).
  • Note: Weronika Ewald makes many double faults (6.3/match).
  • Note: Tina Manescu makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Weronika EwaldTina Manescu
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.7-1.4
Games (G-P)11.1-11.97-10.7
Aces2.90
Double faults6.34.3
1st serve %62.9%47.1%
Break %50.6%45.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Weronika Ewald

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/06 Gina Feistel
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/06 Barbora Palicova
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-1 13-16 W
25/06 Amelia Paszun
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
24/06 Miriam Bulgaru
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
19/06 Julie Pastikova
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
18/06 Maja Pawelska
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Magdalena Baniak
W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
27/05 Tena Lukas
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Sarah Van Emst
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
04/05 Daniela Vismane
W50 Lopota · ~Hard
1-2 11-13 L

Tina Manescu

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Lidia Encheva
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
25/06 Josy Daems
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/06 Leonie Schuknecht
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Adrienn Nagy
W35 Klosters · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/04 Charlotte Pikkaart
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
27/04 Anna Burchak
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
13/04 Sara Sorribes Tormo
W75 Portoroz · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
19/03 Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W15 Le Havre · ~Clay
0-2 2-11 L
17/03 Maddalena Giordano
W15 Le Havre · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/03 Anastasiia Firman
W15 Gonesse · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Weronika Ewald vs Tina Manescu?

Our model gives 65% to Weronika Ewald, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.