Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Manon Favier vs Natalia Klys
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Manon Favier; the market gives 87% to Manon Favier (odds 1.08).
Recent form leaves Manon Favier with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Natalia Klys has piled up 2-8 in the same span.
76%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Favier 1505 · Natalia Klys 1413
| Manon Favier | Natalia Klys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manon Favier (rating 1505 vs 1413).
- Manon Favier is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Manon Favier makes many double faults (9.4/match).
- Note: Natalia Klys makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Manon Favier | Natalia Klys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.7 | 5.8-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 9.4 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 56% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 13.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Favier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Julia Stusek W35 Nice |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Viola Bedini W35 Nice |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Charlotte Benedetti Ravon W35 Nice |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Luciana Moyano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/05 | Alice Soulie W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Lya Fernandez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Miroslava Shitaia W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/04 | Olympe Lancelot W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 03/02 | Sina Herrmann W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
Natalia Klys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Sarah Iliev W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Anna Borovinskaya W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 15/04 | Kristina Kroitor W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Darya Kharlanova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/03 | Julie Myatovic W15 Le Havre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 06/12 | Aliaksandra Skapets UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Agatha Chytilova UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/12 | Lea Fojcik UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 03/12 | Polina Leykina UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Xenia Bandurowska UTR Pro Krakow Women · Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Favier vs Natalia Klys?
Our model gives 76% to Manon Favier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.