Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Noemi La Cagnina vs Milica Stosovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Milica Stosovic; the market gives 56% to Noemi La Cagnina (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Noemi La Cagnina sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Milica Stosovic arrives on a 4-6 run.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noemi La Cagnina 1451 · Milica Stosovic 1465
| Noemi La Cagnina | Milica Stosovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Milica Stosovic makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Noemi La Cagnina | Milica Stosovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.3-10.6 | 6.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 53.5% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 49% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noemi La Cagnina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 22/06 | NataliaNicole Constantin W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Agnese Gentili W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Azzurra Cremonini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Lisa Peer W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 29/04 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Arina Bulatova W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Milica Stosovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Giulia Alexandra Musat W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Andzhelina Kostova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 17/06 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ewa Duda W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/05 | Michaela Bayerlova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Dana Charintceva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Alexa Karatancheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noemi La Cagnina vs Milica Stosovic?
Our model gives 52% to Noemi La Cagnina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.