Tennis · W75 The Hague · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Josy Daems
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Alena Kovackova; the market gives 77% to Alena Kovackova (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Alena Kovackova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Josy Daems 7-3 over theirs.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1550 · Josy Daems 1521
| Alena Kovackova | Josy Daems | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Josy Daems | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7 | 10.7-9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Mirjana Jovanovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
Josy Daems
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Warda Ait El Bachir W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Valentina Ivanov W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/06 | Tina Manescu W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alice Soulie W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 21/03 | Masha Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/03 | Lois Newberry W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/03 | Luna Vujovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Eva Guerrero Alvarez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Josy Daems?
Our model gives 67% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.