Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 06/07, 14:00
Prediction: David Poljak vs Stefan Horia Haita
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Stefan Horia Haita; the market gives 71% to Stefan Horia Haita (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, David Poljak sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Stefan Horia Haita arrives on a 6-4 run.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Poljak 1497 · Stefan Horia Haita 1527
| David Poljak | Stefan Horia Haita | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| David Poljak | Stefan Horia Haita | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-12.2 | 11.8-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 30.9% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Poljak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Dominik Palan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Peter Makk Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 02/02 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/12 | Michal Lusovsky Czechia Extraliga |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/11 | James Trotter Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/11 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Stefan Horia Haita
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Luca Marc Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 30/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Theo Papamalamis M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Robert Guna M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 04/06 | Mihai Alexandru Coman M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Poljak vs Stefan Horia Haita?
Our model gives 63% to Stefan Horia Haita, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.