Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 06/07, 14:00

Prediction: Alexander Donski vs Jiri Cizek

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Alexander Donski; the market gives 75% to Alexander Donski (odds 1.25).

Recent form leaves Alexander Donski with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Jiri Cizek has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

65%1
65% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Donski 1529 · Jiri Cizek 1504
Alexander DonskiJiri Cizek
Our model54%46%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Alexander Donski 1–0 Jiri Cizek (1).
  • Note: Alexander Donski makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Alexander DonskiJiri Cizek
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)13.1-12.110.5-10.1
Aces5.85.1
Double faults5.33.2
1st serve %77%73.6%
Break %33%43.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

H2H · Alexander Donski 10 Jiri Cizek (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Donski 10 Jiri Cizek

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DateSetsGamesRes.
05/11/24
M25 Heraklion
2-118-16W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Donski

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Erik Grevelius
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Filip Pieczonka
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/06 Philip Henning
Challenger Centurion · Hard
1-2 14-16 L
06/06 Khololwam Montsi
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
05/06 Tuncay Duran
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
04/06 Edward Winter
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-1 20-18 W
02/06 Akira Santillan
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
01/06 Naoya Honda
Challenger Centurion · Hard
2-1 14-13 W

Jiri Cizek

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
01/07 Amine Jamji
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
30/06 Essa Qabazard
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Gioele Cerelli
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 11-8 W
10/06 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
08/06 Enrique Bogo
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/05 Tiago Pereira
M25 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
19/05 Alan Wazny
M25 Bol · ~Clay
2-1 13-10 W
11/05 Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Louny · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
26/04 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Donski vs Jiri Cizek?

Our model gives 65% to Alexander Donski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.