Tennis · W75 The Hague · 06/07, 16:30
Prediction: Nina Vargova vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Nina Vargova; the market gives 79% to Nina Vargova (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Nina Vargova sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Rebecca Munk Mortensen arrives on a 5-5 run.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nina Vargova 1551 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1534
| Nina Vargova | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Nina Vargova | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-6.7 | 12.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 62.7% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nina Vargova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jade Groen W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Shkutova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Soha Sadiq W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Tamila Gadamauri W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Adrienn Nagy W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Emma Slavikova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Luca Kalman W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Madison Sieg W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Kamper W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Didi Bredberg Canizares W15 Madrid |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 07/05 | Iva Marinkovic W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Grace Bernstein W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nina Vargova vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?
Our model gives 67% to Nina Vargova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.