Prediction: Stefan Palosi vs Zdenek Kolar
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Zdenek Kolar; the market gives 73% to Zdenek Kolar (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Stefan Palosi with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Zdenek Kolar has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Stefan Palosi | Zdenek Kolar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zdenek Kolar (rating 1458 vs 1499).
- Zdenek Kolar dominates on serve: 10.9 aces and 51.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Stefan Palosi 0–1 Zdenek Kolar (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Palosi | Zdenek Kolar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.8 | 11.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 10.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 51.6% |
H2H · Stefan Palosi 0 – 1 Zdenek Kolar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Palosi 0–1 Zdenek Kolar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/21 Challenger Sibiu | 0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Palosi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Dominik Recek Challenger Ostrava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/04 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/04 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Madrid · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/03 | John Sperle Challenger Zadar · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 15/03 | Matthias Ujvary Challenger Zadar · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Zdenek Kolar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Tom Gentzsch Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Jason Jung Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Ilya Snitari Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/05 | James McCabe French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/05 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Palosi vs Zdenek Kolar?
Our model gives 65% to Zdenek Kolar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.