Tennis · W75 The Hague · 06/07, 10:00

Prediction: Jenny Lim vs Rikke De Koning

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Jenny Lim; the market gives 75% to Jenny Lim (odds 1.25).

Over their last 10 matches, Jenny Lim sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Rikke De Koning arrives on a 5-5 run.

65%1
65% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jenny Lim 1527 · Rikke De Koning 1514
Jenny LimRikke De Koning
Our model52%48%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jenny Lim makes many double faults (5.5/match).
  • Note: Rikke De Koning makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Jenny LimRikke De Koning
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91.5-1.1
Games (G-P)10.6-8.911.8-10.2
Aces0.51.2
Double faults5.54.8
1st serve %60.6%53.7%
Break %43.4%64.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jenny Lim

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Madelief Hageman
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/06 Francesca Curmi
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
17/06 Sofya Lansere
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 13-14 W
16/06 Liv Boulard
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/06 Clara Burel
W35 Nice
1-2 10-15 L
13/06 Alina Granwehr
W35 Nice
2-1 15-8 W
12/06 Oana Georgeta Simion
W35 Nice
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Emira Diabate
W35 Nice
2-0 12-3 W
10/06 Margaux Rouvroy
W35 Nice
2-1 14-9 W

Rikke De Koning

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Sara Cakarevic
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
29/06 Polina Kuharenko
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
24/06 Charlotte Narti
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/05 Rebecca Peterson
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
28/04 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L
18/04 Michelle Dzjachangirova
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
17/04 Kathleen Kanev
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 15-8 W
16/04 Francesca Dell'edera
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/04 Vivien Sandberg
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jenny Lim vs Rikke De Koning?

Our model gives 65% to Jenny Lim, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.