Tennis · W75 The Hague · 06/07, 10:00

Prediction: Sarah Iliev vs Loes Ebeling Koning

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Loes Ebeling Koning; the market gives 56% to Loes Ebeling Koning (odds 1.67).

On recent form, Sarah Iliev is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Loes Ebeling Koning 6-4 over theirs.

54%2
46% 54%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sarah Iliev 1481 · Loes Ebeling Koning 1494
Sarah IlievLoes Ebeling Koning
Our model48%52%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Sarah IlievLoes Ebeling Koning
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.9-11.2-1
Games (G-P)8.8-9.49.9-8.5
Aces0.71
Double faults2.91.4
1st serve %56.7%63.2%
Break %44.7%46.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sarah Iliev

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Ipek Oz
W75 The Hague
2-0 8-5 W
16/06 Mina Hodzic
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Emma Lene
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
05/06 Elina Nepliy
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
03/06 Natalia Klys
W15 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
20/05 Eva Marie Voracek
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/05 Cristina Diaz Adrover
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
09/05 Valentina Steiner
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
08/05 Liv Boulard
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
07/05 Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
1-0 7-6 W

Loes Ebeling Koning

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Polina Kuharenko
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Gergana Topalova
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
1-2 18-17 L
20/05 Jasmijn Gimbrere
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Liel Marlies Rothensteiner
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
18/05 Fabienne Gettwart
W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/05 Britt Du Pree
W35 Bastad · ~Clay
1-2 8-15 L
13/05 Olivia Gram
W35 Bastad · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
06/05 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/05 Ares Teixido Garcia
W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/05 Denisa Zoldakova
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sarah Iliev vs Loes Ebeling Koning?

Our model gives 54% to Loes Ebeling Koning, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.