Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Vaishnavi Adkar vs Alice Ferlito
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Vaishnavi Adkar; the market gives 72% to Vaishnavi Adkar (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Vaishnavi Adkar sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Alice Ferlito arrives on a 4-6 run.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vaishnavi Adkar 1481 · Alice Ferlito 1479
| Vaishnavi Adkar | Alice Ferlito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vaishnavi Adkar | Alice Ferlito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.3 | 9.3-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vaishnavi Adkar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Lidia Gonzalez W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Han Shi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Enola Chiesa W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Jana Kovackova W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Tamara Sramkova W75 Trnava |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Alice Ferlito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Amanda Montes Khaghani W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Maria B Bandera ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Claudia Ferrer Perez ITF W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Nahia Berecoechea ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/08 | Yasmine Mansouri ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Madison Frahn ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/08 | Noelia Bouzo Zanotti ITF W50 Ourense · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vaishnavi Adkar vs Alice Ferlito?
Our model gives 62% to Vaishnavi Adkar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.