Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Eva Alvarez Sande
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Eva Alvarez Sande; the market gives 69% to Cagla Buyukakcay (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Cagla Buyukakcay is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Eva Alvarez Sande 5-5 over theirs.
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cagla Buyukakcay 1518 · Eva Alvarez Sande 1527
| Cagla Buyukakcay | Eva Alvarez Sande | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Eva Alvarez Sande makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Cagla Buyukakcay | Eva Alvarez Sande | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.5 | 10.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 27% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cagla Buyukakcay
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sapir Cohen W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Lidia Encheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Selina Atay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Eva Vedder W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Britt Du Pree W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Francesca Curmi W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/05 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/05 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W35 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Eva Alvarez Sande
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Neus Torner Sensano W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sina Herrmann W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Delia Gaillard W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/05 | Allison Wang W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Sophie Suh W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Isabella Foshee W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Malene Helgo ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Joy De Zeeuw ITF W35 Vigo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar ITF W50 Ourense · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cagla Buyukakcay vs Eva Alvarez Sande?
Our model gives 60% to Cagla Buyukakcay, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.