Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 06/07, 10:30
Prediction: Clara Vlasselaer vs Deniz Dilek
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Deniz Dilek; the market gives 58% to Deniz Dilek (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Clara Vlasselaer sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Deniz Dilek arrives on a 8-2 run.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Vlasselaer 1511 · Deniz Dilek 1598
| Clara Vlasselaer | Deniz Dilek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deniz Dilek (rating 1511 vs 1598).
- Deniz Dilek is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Clara Vlasselaer makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Deniz Dilek makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Clara Vlasselaer | Deniz Dilek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 11.6-5.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 60.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Vlasselaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Beatriz Castro W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Marta Soriano Santiago W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Julita Saner W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/04 | Kolie Allen W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/04 | Tegan Bush W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/04 | Liv Boulard W75 Calvi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/03 | Rasheeda McAdoo W75 Murska Sobota |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Deniz Dilek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Aaddi Gupta W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Minel Naz Kaynak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Daria Lokotkova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Alana Subasic W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Polina Skopintseva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 31/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Vlasselaer vs Deniz Dilek?
Our model gives 60% to Deniz Dilek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.