Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Indianna Spink vs Miroslava Medvedeva
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Indianna Spink; the market gives 89% to Indianna Spink (odds 1.05).
On recent form, Indianna Spink is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Miroslava Medvedeva 3-7 over theirs.
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Indianna Spink 1546 · Miroslava Medvedeva 1437
| Indianna Spink | Miroslava Medvedeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Indianna Spink (rating 1546 vs 1437).
- Indianna Spink is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Indianna Spink makes many double faults (8.9/match).
- Note: Miroslava Medvedeva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Indianna Spink | Miroslava Medvedeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8 | 8.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 8.9 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.8% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 60% | 60.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Indianna Spink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 08/06 | Aurora Urso W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Elena Micic W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Teresa Franco Dias W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Miroslava Medvedeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Polina Isakova W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Min Liu W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Allison Isaacs W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 17/06 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 08/06 | Abigail Rencheli W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Abigail Rencheli W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Elizaveta Gurianova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Serife Pelin Sari W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Indianna Spink vs Miroslava Medvedeva?
Our model gives 78% to Indianna Spink, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.