Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 06/07, 10:30

Prediction: Andre Lukosiute vs Chloe Noel

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Andre Lukosiute; the market gives 71% to Andre Lukosiute (odds 1.33).

Recent form leaves Andre Lukosiute with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Chloe Noel has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

66%1
66% 34%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andre Lukosiute 1598 · Chloe Noel 1523
Andre LukosiuteChloe Noel
Our model61%39%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andre Lukosiute (rating 1598 vs 1523).
  • Andre Lukosiute is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Andre Lukosiute 1–0 Chloe Noel (1).
  • Note: Andre Lukosiute makes many double faults (6.6/match).
  • Note: Chloe Noel makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Andre LukosiuteChloe Noel
Win %90%60%
Win % · Hard 89% (9) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.51.3-1
Games (G-P)11.8-6.611.2-9.3
Aces1.52.2
Double faults6.64
1st serve %67.6%63.4%
Break %57.6%53.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

H2H · Andre Lukosiute 10 Chloe Noel (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Andre Lukosiute 10 Chloe Noel

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DateSetsGamesRes.
06/06/26
W15 Monastir
2-117-12W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andre Lukosiute

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Milana Ivantsiv
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-3 W
07/06 Berta Passola
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
06/06 Chloe Noel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W
05/06 Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/06 Lamiss Houas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
31/05 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-14 W
30/05 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/05 Natalia Sousa Salazar
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/05 Karla Bartel
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 13-8 W

Chloe Noel

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Emilija Tverijonaite
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Min Liu
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
21/06 Valentina Carreras Medina
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
18/06 Mia Slama
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
16/06 Clemence Lesdos
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
2-1 16-6 W
10/06 Margaux Komano
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/06 Andre Lukosiute
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-17 L
05/06 Maria Andrienko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
04/06 Micol Salvadori
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
03/06 Nahjime Dho
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andre Lukosiute vs Chloe Noel?

Our model gives 66% to Andre Lukosiute, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.