Tennis · W50 Corroios-Seixal · 06/07, 12:00

Prediction: Anastasia Kulikova vs Raquel Gonzalez Vilar

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Anastasia Kulikova; the market gives 71% to Anastasia Kulikova (odds 1.33).

Over their last 10 matches, Anastasia Kulikova sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Raquel Gonzalez Vilar arrives on a 4-6 run.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anastasia Kulikova 1531 · Raquel Gonzalez Vilar 1533
Anastasia KulikovaRaquel Gonzalez Vilar
Our model50%50%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Raquel Gonzalez Vilar makes many double faults (6.6/match).

Statistics

Anastasia KulikovaRaquel Gonzalez Vilar
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)9.8-8.911.5-9.6
Aces2.13
Double faults2.26.6
1st serve %62.5%64.6%
Break %32.7%52.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anastasia Kulikova

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Francisca Laundes
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 Manon Leonard
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/06 Alina Charaeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Mai Hontama
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
15/06 Momoko Kobori
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-1 15-12 W
14/06 Polina Isakova
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Matilde Jorge
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Maria Martinez Vaquero
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/06 Yeon Woo Ku
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Raquel Gonzalez Vilar

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Kika Lima
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-5 W
24/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Lucia Llinares Domingo
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W
21/06 Leire San Jose
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
16/06 Vaishnavi Adkar
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
05/06 Maileen Nuudi
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Lucia Llinares Domingo
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-1 19-13 W
02/06 Carlota Corte
W15 Ontinyent · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/11 Kylie Collins
W35 Boca Raton
0-2 7-13 L
19/11 Luca Udvardy
W35 Boca Raton
2-1 14-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anastasia Kulikova vs Raquel Gonzalez Vilar?

Our model gives 61% to Anastasia Kulikova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.