Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 06/07, 14:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Maximilian Neuchrist
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Olle Wallin; the market gives 71% to Olle Wallin (odds 1.33).
Over their last 10 matches, Olle Wallin sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Maximilian Neuchrist arrives on a 4-6 run.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1574 · Maximilian Neuchrist 1512
| Olle Wallin | Maximilian Neuchrist | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1574 vs 1512).
- Olle Wallin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Maximilian Neuchrist | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.2 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Noah Martens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Justas Trainauskas M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maximilian Neuchrist
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ramkumar Ramanathan Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Yanki Erel M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 15/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Raghav Harsh M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/04 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 12/03 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Kigali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 10/03 | Florent Bax Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 02/03 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Kigali · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/03 | Claude Ishimwe Challenger Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/02 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Maximilian Neuchrist?
Our model gives 65% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.