Tennis · W75 The Hague · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Daniela Vismane
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Lia Karatancheva; the market gives 79% to Lia Karatancheva (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Lia Karatancheva is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Daniela Vismane 4-6 over theirs.
70%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1552 · Daniela Vismane 1493
| Lia Karatancheva | Daniela Vismane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lia Karatancheva (rating 1552 vs 1493).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Daniela Vismane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-5.6 | 10.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 49.8% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Nellie Taraba Wallberg W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 01/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Joy De Zeeuw W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Lucie Urbanova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabriela Gregorczyk W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Valeria Garnevska W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Daniela Vismane
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Enola Chiesa W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Sandra Samir W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Madelief Hageman W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Jade Groen W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Martyna Kubka W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Weronika Ewald W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/04 | Vivian Wolff W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Laima Vladson W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Evgeniya Burdina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Daniela Vismane?
Our model gives 70% to Lia Karatancheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.