Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00

Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Thomas Faurel

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Jerome Kym; the market gives 59% to Jerome Kym (odds 1.57).

Over their last 10 matches, Jerome Kym sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Thomas Faurel arrives on a 4-6 run.

55%1
55% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1500 · Thomas Faurel 1495
Jerome KymThomas Faurel
Our model51%49%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Jerome KymThomas Faurel
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.41.2-1.2
Games (G-P)13.7-13.712.3-11.8
Aces10.48.6
Double faults3.91.6
1st serve %76.2%62.6%
Break %32.6%33%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jerome Kym

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 28-27 L
24/06 August Holmgren
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Gonzalo Bueno
Wimbledon · Grass
2-1 17-12 W
17/06 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 16-16 L
16/06 Thanasi Kokkinakis
Challenger Dublin · Grass
2-1 13-16 W
26/05 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
19/05 Tom Gentzsch
French Open · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/03 Michiel de Krom
Challenger Kigali · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/03 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Kigali · Clay
2-1 18-15 W
21/02 Alexander Blockx
Challenger Lille · Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Thomas Faurel

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Igor Marcondes
Challenger Troyes · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
17/06 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
15/06 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
11/06 Clement Tabur
Challenger Lyon · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/06 Florent Bax
Challenger Lyon · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
26/05 Valentin Vacherot
French Open · Clay
1-3 19-22 L
21/05 Dalibor Svrcina
French Open · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Jay Clarke
French Open · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/05 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
French Open · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/05 Lukas Pokorny
Challenger Tunis · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Thomas Faurel?

Our model gives 55% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.