Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Federico Cina; the market gives 61% to Federico Cina (odds 1.53).
On recent form, Maks Kasnikowski is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Federico Cina 3-7 over theirs.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1530 · Federico Cina 1537
| Maks Kasnikowski | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11 | 13.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.8% | 67% |
| Break % | 34.3% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/05 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gianluca Cadenasso Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Reilly Opelka French Open · Clay |
3-2 | 27-23 | W |
| 21/05 | Alexis Galarneau French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 56% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.