Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 08/07, 09:00
Prediction: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Taro Daniel
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 69% to Taro Daniel; the market gives 71% to Taro Daniel (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Genaro Alberto Olivieri is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Taro Daniel 8-2 over theirs.
70%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1498 · Taro Daniel 1639
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1498 vs 1639).
- Taro Daniel is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Taro Daniel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.5 | 13-9.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Elias Ymer Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/06 | Tomas Lanik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Taro Daniel?
Our model gives 70% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.