Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 06/07, 09:00
Prediction: Mathys Erhard vs Nitin Kumar Sinha
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Mathys Erhard; the market gives 90% to Mathys Erhard (odds 1.04).
Recent form leaves Mathys Erhard with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Nitin Kumar Sinha has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Erhard 1525 · Nitin Kumar Sinha 1490
| Mathys Erhard | Nitin Kumar Sinha | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mathys Erhard | Nitin Kumar Sinha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.6 | 9.5-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 48% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Erhard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Jacopo Bilardo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Nitin Kumar Sinha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Luca Frunza Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Naoya Honda Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Aradhya Kshitij Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Tomohiro Masabayashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/05 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Erhard vs Nitin Kumar Sinha?
Our model gives 74% to Mathys Erhard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.