Tennis · Challenger Iasi · 06/07, 09:00
Prediction: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Samir Hamza Reguig
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Alex Marti Pujolras; the market gives 88% to Alex Marti Pujolras (odds 1.06).
Over their last 10 matches, Alex Marti Pujolras sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Samir Hamza Reguig arrives on a 7-3 run.
71%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Marti Pujolras 1521 · Samir Hamza Reguig 1517
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alex Marti Pujolras makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Alex Marti Pujolras | Samir Hamza Reguig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.5 | 10.5-8.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Marti Pujolras
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Vijay Sundar Prashanth Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/06 | David Fix Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Jack Kennedy M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Robert Watzka M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/05 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Samir Hamza Reguig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Matei Marius Partal Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrea De Marchi M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/06 | Vuk Radjenovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Deren Yigin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Emerson Pedro Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Seabo Saleshando Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Samuel Agbesi Osei Antwi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Ismael C R Mzai Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Markus Molder M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Marti Pujolras vs Samir Hamza Reguig?
Our model gives 71% to Alex Marti Pujolras, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.