Tennis · W75 The Hague · 05/07, 15:30
Prediction: Alena Kovackova vs Mirjana Jovanovic
See it on the live radar ↗Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Alena Kovackova; the market gives 91% to Alena Kovackova (odds 1.02).
On recent form, Alena Kovackova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Mirjana Jovanovic 5-5 over theirs.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alena Kovackova 1532 · Mirjana Jovanovic 1523
| Alena Kovackova | Mirjana Jovanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alena Kovackova | Mirjana Jovanovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.4 | 10.3-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 59% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alena Kovackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 01/06 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Mirjana Jovanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Jana Stojanova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Elizabeth Ivanov UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Xenia Bandurowska UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 06/06 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Adela Polakovicova W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Ania Hertel W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Saoirse Breen W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alena Kovackova vs Mirjana Jovanovic?
Our model gives 73% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.